Psychology of Intelligence Analysis
Author's Preface
Author's Preface
This paper is concerned with three questions: How do decision makers conceptualize uncertainty? How do decision makers cope with uncertainty? Are there systematic relationships between different conceptu- alizations of uncertainty and different methods of cop- ing? To answer these questions we analyzed 102 self- reports of decision-making under uncertainty with an inclusive method of classifying conceptualizations of uncertainty and coping mechanisms developed from the decision-making literature.
Objective: This article describes the origins and contributions of the naturalistic decision making (NDM) research approach.
Background: NDM research emerged in the 1980s to study how people make decisions in real-world settings.
Cultural cognition is one of a variety of approaches designed to empirically test the “cultural theory of risk” set forth by Mary Douglas and Aaron Wildavsky. The basic premise of cultural theory is that individuals can be expected to form beliefs about societal dangers that reflect and reinforce their commitments to one or another idealized form of social ordering.